Middle East Spectator – MES

I just woke up from a bad dream where Pezeshkian was my teacher.

Truly, scary stuff.

Probably nothing in my opinion.

Also, this radio thing was first reported more than 8 hours ago, I don't know why people are only paying attention to it now.

The Putin to the Kremlin thing is new though.

—❗️🇷🇺 BREAKING: President Putin rushes to the Kremlin for an unknown reason

@Middle_East_Spectator

—❗️🇷🇺 NEW: Russia's UVB-76 military communications radio, sometimes dubbed 'Doomsday Radio', broadcasted 4 sudden mysterious codes, purpose unknown

1. NZHTI - 33 702 - NEPTUN - 66-52-20-75

2. NZHTI - 8002 361 - TIMUS - 56-85

3. NZHTI - 7000 0 8002 - LISOPLASH - 67-203-0808-0809

4. NZHTI - 62 505 - NUTOBAKS - 78 15 92 71

The radio station's purpose is unknown, but is sometimes associated with Russia's nuclear triad and the Western Military Sector.

@Middle_East_Spectator

— For the retards:

Basically, in a recent exercise, an Iranian air defense system intercepted a drone at a very long distance, with a much smaller radar cross-section than an F-35 at that range.

This means, if that drone could be successfully detected and intercepted, an F-35 jet can also be intercepted, because its radar signature is larger than the drone, therefore easier to detect and target.

@Middle_East_Spectator

—❗️🇮🇷 NEW: Iranian air defenses are likely able to detect and engage F-35 stealth fighters, according to recent tests

In a recent exercise, the fire-control radar of Iran's 'Bavar-373' air defense system intercepted a 'Karrar' drone at a distance of 316 kilometers, with a radar cross-section of 2,14 square meters or 3.22 decibels. (Image of this interception attached above).

It it is not clear at what range the initial detection took place, but according to this data, the fire-control radar of the Bavar-373 can detect a flying target with a radar cross-section of 0.01 meters from a distance of 82km, or a target with a radar cross-section of 0.05 meters from a distance of 123km.

Now, let's assume that this system, the Bavar-373, is equipped with an L-band radar, for example like the TPY-4, and its detection capability is roughly similar to this radar.

In theory, this means that the fire-control radar of the Bavar-373 is able to intercept an F-35 from a distance of up to 218 kilometers, given that its radar-evasive coating at this frequency (L-band) is practically negligible and the radar cross-section of the F-35 is approximately 0.5 square meters.

Simulated examples of the F-35's radar cross-section at L-band and VHF frequencies is provided in the images attached to this post.

To convert decibels within the 360-degree diagram (image also attached to the post) to square meters, which is of course the radar cross-section with the radar's horizontal viewing angle, use the following formula: 10 ^ (decibels/10).

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇵🇸/🇮🇱 Al-Qassam Brigades: 'Be prepared, soon your children will return in black coffins. Your leadership has signed the decision to execute the prisoners in Gaza.'

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇵🇸/🇮🇱/🇺🇸 BREAKING: Al-Qassam Brigades spokesman Abu Obaidah has announced that an Israeli bombardment directly targeted the location of Israeli prisoner Edan Alexander, a U.S. citizen, and that Hamas has lost contact with the team guarding him. @Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇵🇸/🇮🇱/🇺🇸 BREAKING: Al-Qassam Brigades spokesman Abu Obaidah has announced that an Israeli bombardment directly targeted the location of Israeli prisoner Edan Alexander, a U.S. citizen, and that Hamas has lost contact with the team guarding him.

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇲🇻/🇮🇱 NEW: The President of the Maldives has ratified legislation banning Israelis from entering the country, effective immediately.

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇮🇷🇮🇷 WATCH: Newly released footage shows the IRGC Aerospace Forces preparing missiles and drones for Operation True Promise-1, almost exactly one year ago today

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 The Supreme Leader of Iran, Ayatollah Khamenei:

'The Iran-US talks are being conducted in a good and professional way, and our red lines are clear. We will not have a repeat of the JCPOA.

I urge the officials to stay on this path, and the talks can either become fruitful or not. But don't tie the country's affairs to these negotiations; have faith in our nation's capabilities, don't put all your eggs in one basket – pursue other affairs alongside this.

If the negotiations work, they work, and if they do not, then they don't. In the meantime, we should continue our national progress and not be blindsighted by these talks.'

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇷🇺 NEW: Iran has rejected a U.S. proposal to relocate its uranium stocks to Russia, stating that Iran must retain full control and sovereignity over its nuclear program

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇺🇸/🇨🇳 NEW: Chinese social media users are incredibly amused, after White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt was seen wearing a Chinese-made dress from 'Taobao', the Chinese equivalent of Amazon, while talking about imposing tariffs on China and bringing manufacturing 'back to America'

@Middle_East_Spectator

Reminder that you can directly DM me @ Spectator_MENA on Twitter (X)

— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷/☢️ As President Trump keeps threatening Iran with war, it is worthy to note the following:

Every meaningful step of the nuclear weapons program has already been completed, including uranium enrichment, accumulation of stock, research into weaponization (early 2000's), even hypothetical blueprints of the missile warheads.

There are only three crucial steps that Iran has chosen not to take:

1. The actual production of the nuclear weapon or warhead. R&D has likely already been completed.

2. Performing an (underground) nuclear test, to prove whether the design works as planned and the nuclear reaction takes place in real world conditions as planned.

3. Mounting the nuclear warhead on a valid and reliable delivery mechanism, becoming operational. Iran already has several delivery options, including Shahab-3 MRBM (shown in the image above) which was developed in the 2000's, the Khorramshahr-4, and possibly the Qaem-100 if converted to ICBM.

These three steps, especially step one and two, are not easy to achieve. But Iran has been a nuclear threshold state for years now, and it likely has at least some decent experience with nuclear technology from the Russians and the North Koreans, which would make the steps faster and easier to achieve.

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇸🇦/🇺🇸/🇮🇱 NEW: Israeli Opposition leader Yair Lapid calls on the U.S. to prohibit 'uranium enrichment' on Saudi soil if Saudi Arabia signs a nuclear cooperation agreement

The deal, which is 'months away,' according to U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright, does not yet mention Saudi-Israeli normalization.

@Middle_East_Spectator